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The climb down of the shady EPAs

By Tewedage Sintayehu

As the planned year for signing the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) in the Cotonou agreement of 2000, December 2007 was the time when the final decision of African countries would be made. Accordingly, African countries that have always been suspicious of the European Commission’s push to sign the agreements have finally notified their decision not to do so, at least for now, on the Europe-Africa Summit held in Lisbon, Portugal a week ago. Though the EPAs were not among the agenda for discussion in the summit, they constituted an important part of the Trade and regional integration agenda between Europe and Africa.
Ever since its onset in Cairo, Egypt in 2000, the Europe-Africa summit, planned to be held every three years, has been marred with controversies. Both the 2003 and 2006 meetings never took place after England called for the abolition of the Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe in relation with the land reform measures he carried out and the subsequent refusal of African countries not to participate in solidarity with the African leader. Consequently, it was only a week ago that the Lisbon meeting materialized.
Diplomatic sources claim that the major reason for the Lisbon meeting, after years of neglect, is the rising role of China in Africa. Though China’s role and the Lisbon summit have got political dimensions, this article intends to deal with the economic aspects only.
During the Lisbon summit Louis Michel, European Commissioner for Development and Humanitarian Aid, noted that Europe’s 50+ share of the total volume of trade for Africa before 2000 has been reduced considerably to 31% presently. On the other hand, China’s volume of trade with Africa has grown five fold in five years to reach 27%, with the U.S. constituting a share of 29%.
It would not be surprising, considering these figures, that Luis Michelle has been pushing African states to sign the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs), that have always been controversial, for quite a long time. Even when European countries like the UK, France and Sweden showed some sympathy to Africa’s concern towards the EPAs, he always stood his ground to warn developing African nations that not signing the agreements would only leave them with normal WTO rules that strip them off quota and tariff benefits.
The Economic Partnership Agreements (EPA) that were to be signed between Europe and Africa have always been controversial. Issues like the impact of the EPA that includes reciprocal market access agreements between the European Union (EU) and Africa on the latter’s GDP, levels of employment and other macro economic aggregates have always been grounds of contention between the two parties. Furthermore, the welfare implications for African countries from the EPAs and their effect on trade expansion have created a forum for heated debates.
Among the reasons for Africa’s decision not to sign the agreements was the clear supply side constraint on its part. As the EPAs would lead to more open African markets for European products, European countries that have generally got strong economies would have the capacity to use their opportunities optimally. However, opening up European markets would not be equally beneficial to African countries as their supply of products to the former’s market would be tremendously lower. This is because of the lack of capital, infrastructure and other variables that affect competence to win market share. High sanitary and health standards of the European Union would also make things harder for African producers.
Another reason for not signing the agreements was the absence of clearly stated assistance schemes for capacity building from the Europeans. The fact that economic aid for achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) has not been addressed by the EPAs has also given the impression for Africans that development issues have not been well considered.
Up on the refusal of African countries to sign the EPAs, President of the European Economic Commission announced that the next step is an interim arrangement that prevents the use of normal WTO rules on the developing countries of Africa. The LDCs, those that have a per capita income of less than 400 USD, would not still be affected even if the interim arrangements to be proposed by the Europeans face the same fate as the EPAs. That is because the LDCs are beneficiaries of what are called ‘EBAs’ (Everything But Arms), which provide them with the opportunity to retain their quota and tariff benefits.
With the failure of instating the EPAs as a strategic move to ensure more control over African International trade and recent measures by the Chinese to open their market more for Africans, the Europeans seem to have faced a difficult time changing recent trends of their reduced trade shares with Africa.

The agenda set for the Lisbon Europe-Africa Summit

1.climate change and energy;
2.good governance and democracy
3.migration and development
4.Trade and regional integration
5.peace and security.