
God Speed 2007
The Gregorian new year is not as significant to a nation that
boasts its own, now unique calendar and yet, Ethiopians by and large
mark the occasion to keep in step with most of the rest of the world.
Of course, hundreds of thousands of Ethiopians do live by the Gregorian
calendar. Among them are Roman Catholics, Protestant Christians
and last but by no means least, the large expatriate community in
Addis Ababa and the regions. To all, and sundry, Capital extends
joyful season's greetings. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!
So what sort of year was the one we are seeing off and what are
our expectations of 2008?
As far as it concerns 2007, one morsel of lay psychology would indicate
it was quite a good year in contrast to 2006. This is the commonly
held belief that the shorter something seems then the more chances
that the time was enjoyable or tolerable at the very least. By this
measure 2007 flew by like greased lightning.
The year's defining theme was set by the numerous events related
to the celebration of the new Ethiopian Millennium. Fraught with
worries over terrorist plots, the ongoing detention of CUD leaders
and others and, hitherto unseen rates of inflation, relatively few
gave the millennium preparations and activities any chance of success.
In the end, security was assured, CUD detainees finally released
and inflation… well it continued upwards remorselessly, with
traders capitalizing on the historic occasion. And oh yes, Beyonce
bounced all around the place, bless her! In general the level of
success the new Millennium achieved and the symbolic significance
of the momentum it has created took even the most incorrigible pessimist
by surprise.
Having said that, the political arena is not greatly improved all
that better nor has the opposition displayed any depth of party
discipline. Poverty is still pervasive and even reaching critical
levels in urban areas. The nation's roads are being built at an
unprecedented pace but it seems that they are also death traps -
super highways for a nation of reckless drivers. In the last months
alone over 30 people have died in horrendous traffic accidents.
Oblivious it seems to these and other challenges, the economic fundamentals
have been strong with Foreign Direct Investment reaching a robust
7 % of GDP in 2007. Horticulture and flowers also performed remarkably
- helping to push export values past the psychologically significant
1 billion dollar threshold for the first time ever.
One development still going strong has been the increased availability
of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, who has been quite busy holding
various discussions with stakeholders in different sectors. This
is believed to have contributed some measure to bring government
and society closer. It is hoped that this practice will continue
in the new year.
There is a dark cloud on the horizon though and this is the cancerous
relationship with Eritrea. Already this week the two countries have
traded accusations and counter charges of instigating a border skirmish.
So far, there appears to be no way in which the two sides can find
common ground. It is the duty of all forces of peace in the world
to exert their influence over the belligerents if another war is
to be avoided. The Horn of Africa has thirsted for peace for too
long and can not afford more conflict. Aside from the direct costs
in human life and property, another war would retard - perhaps indefinitely,
Ethiopia's path to sustainable development.
That can not be allowed to happen.
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