
Birds of the same feather
The Ethiopia-Eritrea border dispute is unfortunately far from over
and threatens to add another nail into the collective coffin that
the Horn of Africa is turning into.
The area is currently the most volatile and unpredictable sub-region
on the continent and the winds of war from the North have made it
an even drier tinderbox.
It is indeed a tragedy that the Greater Horn has not been blessed
with the vision of regional unity displayed by other sub-regions.
The Horn of Africa proper consists of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia
and Eritrea. The Greater Horn region, it is generally agreed, also
includes Kenya, the Sudan and even Yemen.
The cumulative political, social and economic capacity and potential
of these nations puts forward a strong argument for regional cooperation.
A 173 million plus population-43% below 15 years of age, 220 billion
US in Gross ‘Regional’ Product, 5,157,000 square kilometers
of some of Africa’s most fertile and mineral rich land and
a strategic location on major trade routes makes a good recipe for
regional integration.
Enhancing these ingredients are the religious, linguistic, and other
socio-cultural similarities, including overlapping ethnicities across
the borders (artificially drawn up by departing colonists).
Creating in the Greater Horn, the conditions necessary for a shift
from confrontation to co-operation is a tall order when seen against
the light of current reality. However, there are a few indications
of bilateral co-operation that can form the basis on which to form
a regional framework. And no, it is not IGAD that comes to mind
but rather the growing economic partnership Ethiopia maintains with
Sudan and also the symbiotic and mutually respectful relationship
with Djibouti.
Ethiopia is the key to the entire region in the geo political sense
and its leadership is vital to the Horn and the whole of Africa.
The country is the largest most stable and historically iconic nation
in the Greater Horn. The region can learn much from Ethiopia’s
merits as a bastion of multi-ethnic co-existence and religious freedom.
1945 Europe did not have as many things going for it as does the
Greater Horn of 2008.
Devastated in body, soul and material by a horrendous war and stunned
into bitter misery and utter destitution, it was only a few years
later that Europe began to dream and gradually make real continental
union.
The Greater Horn has the rich water, land, human resource and the
leadership history of Ethiopia, the great ethnic diversity and oil
wealth of Sudan, Eritrean work ethics, the strategic location of
Djibouti. Somali ingenuity and rich fisheries and Kenya’s
proven (and recently sorely tested) political maturity and free
market experience.
As such, it is incumbent on Ethiopia to take the moral high ground
and despite the obvious naysayer in the Horn, take the initiative
in proposing the establishment of a truly effective regional instrument.
If it weren’t for the intractability of the Eritrean regime
this vision of a Greater Horn confederation would not sound so naïve.
However, this isolationist and reactionary state should not be allowed
to cloud the noble vision.
In fact, the Greater Horn countries should look forward to a future
that does not necessarily have to include an Eritrea under the current
regime. The work to form even a semblance of union must start today.
Perhaps when the Eritrean people see that they are the only ones
left stranded at the station with the train gone, it may be that
they will find it in themselves to question their rulers.
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