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Finance Ministry halts tax decision affecting juice manufacturers

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The Ministry of Finance (MoF) has suspended a tax authority decision that would have required fruit drink manufacturers to settle years of unpaid excise tax, stemming from a regulation enacted six years ago.

This issue emerged two years ago when the Ethiopian Food and Drug Authority clarified to the Ministry of Revenue (MoR) that a packaged beverage must contain at least 30 percent fruit concentrate or pulp to qualify as fruit juice. As a result, the MoR mandated that manufacturers register for excise tax and pay the amounts that had not been collected from consumers over the previous four years, dating back to the 1186/2020 excise proclamation. The directive also required manufacturers to pay penalties and interest on these outstanding tax amounts.

In a letter issued last week, the MoF expressed concern that the MoR’s decision had severely impacted manufacturers, creating significant financial strain. The letter stated, “It forced several producers to close their businesses, while similar imported products are not subject to the same tax, harming the competitiveness of local manufacturers.” This action followed a formal complaint from the Ministry of Industry (MoI) received by the MoF in April.

Dated September 22 and signed by former State Minister Eyob Tekalign (now Governor of the National Bank of Ethiopia), the MoF letter emphasized that it was unfair to burden manufacturers with accrued taxes that had not been collected from consumers due to ambiguous legal language. The letter indicated, “Pending a permanent solution by the relevant authorized body, the enforcement of this decision has been temporarily halted.”

This new decision follows a year of negotiations. Initially, the MoF insisted that manufacturers settle the tax, albeit without penalties or interest, but manufacturers cited their inability to pay. The government also provided an option for installment payments.

With support from the MoI, the regulatory body’s latest decision has pleased manufacturers. The MoF clarified that manufacturers are now only required to pay excise tax on products sold after the MoR’s implementation letter was released in November 2023.

Ashenafi Merid, General Manager of the Ethiopian Beverages Manufacturing Industries Association, expressed gratitude for the understanding and support from the Industry and Finance ministers in making this significant decision. He reflected on the nearly two-year struggle, stating, “It is a big relief for the sector.”

Ashenafi noted that the demand for payment of the accrued tax had severely impacted domestic juice producers, forcing nearly all to halt production. He pointed out that only a few foreign-based investors managed to continue operations.

Reports indicated that manufacturers were, on average, being asked to pay approximately 70 million birr in back taxes.

“We hope that the manufacturers will rehire their employees and resume operations soon,” the association head added with optimism.

Banks skeptical as NBE loosens credit growth cap

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Banks have indicated that the recent relaxation of the credit growth cap is expected to have minimal impact on their operations. At the same time, the regulatory authority has expressed its willingness to implement appropriate policy measures if the monetary environment shows signs of rising inflationary pressures.

Contrary to expectations of a full reversal, the National Bank of Ethiopia’s (NBE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) only loosened the two-year cap on bank lending growth by six percentage points in its decision this week.

This policy shift has been met with skepticism from financial experts and private bank executives, who are confused by the NBE’s decision to reverse course.

Market analysts argue that the financial sector is currently facing a liquidity shortage, making the continuation of any credit cap an unnecessary precaution.

The MPC has raised the allowable annual credit growth rate to 24%, a significant increase from the 18% limit established just nine months ago. The cap was initially set at 14% in August 2023 as part of a broader strategy to combat inflation, which included measures such as reducing direct advances to the government.

“In my assessment, the new directive will not produce any meaningful positive impact on the financial industry,” a bank president told Capital.

He and other industry leaders suggested that only a few long-established banks might benefit, as most financial institutions struggle with insufficient liquidity to support a substantial expansion of their loan portfolios.

A seasoned bank president echoed this sentiment, stating, “I expressed the same concern in January when the MPC adjusted the cap to 18 percent. In practice, we observed little change in loan disbursement.”

He referenced the NBE’s earlier decision at the start of the budget year on July 1st to lift a separate mandate requiring banks to purchase treasury bonds equivalent to 20% of every loan disbursement—a measure initially imposed in November 2022 with a five-year maturity.

“While the removal of the bond requirement is beneficial for new loan origination, our resources remain tied up at the NBE for the duration of the bond’s term,” he explained.

He emphasized that liquidity constraints have worsened due to a series of stringent regulatory measures over the years, including a previous 27% bond requirement that was in effect from 2011 until November 2019.

The president of a newly established bank expressed a similar viewpoint, suggesting that, like the previous relaxation, the increased cap is unlikely to significantly impact the operations of most medium-sized and newer banks.

Experts contended that completely removing the cap would not lead to inflation, as the economy currently lacks the necessary resources to boost aggregate demand.

“The government, as the primary economic actor, is not planning any major new projects or extraordinary expenditures,” explained one bank president. “Therefore, we do not expect any substantial changes in system-wide liquidity in the near future.”

This has prompted analysts to question the regulator’s reluctance to fully lift a measure that is widely anticipated to have minimal market impact.

In a statement dated Monday, September 29, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) reported that domestic credit growth reached 14.0 percent for the period from August 2024 to 2025. By the end of August, the banking system’s outstanding loans had increased by 5.4 percent compared to the June 2025 balance.

The Committee also noted that year-on-year growth in broad money supply (M2) and reserve money stood at 23.1 percent and 70.7 percent, respectively, as of the end of August 2025.

The sharp rise in reserve money growth was attributed to the National Bank of Ethiopia’s (NBE) accumulation of foreign exchange through gold purchases, which injected local currency into the banking system. The Committee observed that while reserve money growth seemed expansionary, “the credit cap policy constrained the money multiplier,” thereby limiting the growth of the broad money supply.

The MPC committed to revisiting the credit cap in its upcoming meetings.

At the same time, the MPC expressed its readiness to implement new policy instruments to address any potential negative effects on the economy resulting from the looser credit policy.

This approach aligns with the central bank’s recent commitment to transitioning toward internationally recognized indirect monetary policy tools, moving away from direct intervention.

The Committee clarified that the NBE will now employ a comprehensive range of market-based instruments.

“These include the central bank’s policy rate, open market operations, foreign exchange interventions, and adjustments to reserve requirements, among others,” the statement noted. These tools may be utilized individually or in combination, depending on the prevailing inflationary and monetary conditions.

Ministry of Water and Energy rejects Egypt’s claims on GERD impact

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The Ministry of Water and Energy (MoWE) has strongly dismissed recent accusations from Egypt concerning the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), labeling them as baseless and full of contradictions.

The Ministry underscored that historical data on the Blue Nile’s flow before the dam’s construction compared to the current regulated flow clearly disproves Egypt’s assertions.In an official statement released today, the MoWE highlighted that falsehoods have become a persistent trait in Egyptian institutional communications about the GERD and the Nile River.

It criticized the latest statement from Egypt’s Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation as being filled with misrepresentations easily refuted by factual analysis.The Ministry pointed to 93 years of flow data from Sudan, noting that prior to the GERD, peak flood volumes could exceed 800 million cubic meters per day in August and 750 million cubic meters per day in September. In contrast, the dam’s regulated daily releases in August and September 2025 were significantly lower at 154.7 million and 472 million cubic meters respectively.

MoWE emphasized that the GERD has thus substantially reduced peak flood magnitudes, protecting communities downstream from the severe damage historically caused by these floods. The regulated flow from the dam, the Ministry explained, benefits lower riparian countries by mitigating catastrophic flooding during the heavy rainy season.

The Ministry also argued that without the GERD, recent heavy rains in Ethiopia’s highlands would have caused historic destruction in Sudan and Egypt. It stressed that these countries now benefit from more stable water flows year-round thanks to the dam.Notably, the Ministry criticized Egypt’s “patronizing tone” and its attempt to speak on behalf of other countries, which it said is contradicted by Sudanese officials.

Sudan’s Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation has attributed recent floods primarily to increased flows from the White Nile—unconnected to Ethiopia—and to damage from ongoing conflict worsening flood impacts.By disregarding these facts, Ethiopia said, Egypt unfairly blames Ethiopia in a bid to mislead the international community and craft a false narrative of victimhood.

The Ministry reiterated Ethiopia’s commitment to pursuing its development goals while maintaining cooperation frameworks with Sudan for data sharing and expert collaboration.Ethiopia underlined that the GERD has prevented what could have been catastrophic floods in Sudan amid this year’s heavy rainfall.

The country vowed to continue upholding professional standards in the dam’s operation and rejected the “false accusations and defamatory” claims from Egypt.The statement concluded by urging Egyptian authorities to abandon their outdated notions of hydro-hegemony over the Nile and embrace cooperative approaches for shared prosperity among Nile Basin countries.

It hailed the GERD as a source of pride for Ethiopia, the Nile Basin, and continental African development, asserting that Africa’s rise will not be hindered by clinging to “historic rights” rooted in colonial-era thinking.This response from Ethiopia comes amid ongoing tensions over the GERD’s impact on downstream nations, highlighting deep divisions but also opportunities for dialogue and cooperation on Nile water management.

BoA reports record profit with 50% rise in earnings per share

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Bank of Abyssinia (BoA) has achieved remarkable financial growth for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, solidifying its status among Ethiopia’s top private banks. The bank reported a 91.4% increase in gross profit before tax, reaching 10.101 billion birr, according to details revealed at its 29th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders.

Despite a challenging domestic and global economic environment, BoA expanded its balance sheet and advanced digital innovations significantly. Net profit after tax soared from 4.237 billion birr in the previous year to 7.298 billion birr, while Earnings Per Share (EPS) surged between 33% and 50%, as stated in the annual report.

Total comprehensive income hit 7.447 billion birr for the period. Chairman of the Board, Mekonnen Manyazewal, highlighted that the Public Shareholder Association, established in 1996, continues to ensure the bank’s strong financial health.The bank’s total assets grew by 28.8%, rising from 222.3 billion birr to 286.2 billion birr.

This growth was mainly driven by loans and advances to customers, which, after net loan reserves, totaled 193.37 billion birr—representing 67.56% of the bank’s assets.Deposits also increased by 26.3%, or 50.7 billion birr, totaling 243.2 billion birr. Revenue reached 39.1 billion birr, with income from net fees and commissions more than doubling from 2.198 billion birr in 2024 to 4.817 billion birr.Interest-free banking deposits stood at 31.5 billion birr, accompanied by a customer base growth of 1.9 million. Total expenditures rose by 28.9%, reaching 29 billion birr.

While revenues surged, reserves for doubtful loans escalated, with credit default payments nearly doubling from 1.099 billion birr to 2.122 billion birr.BoA also expanded its digital outreach, installing over 1,700 ATMs and more than 3,600 sales POS machines, underscoring its commitment to digital banking innovation amid rapid growth.