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IMF concludes final quarterly review of Ethiopia’s economic reform program

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) team recently conducted its final quarterly review under Ethiopia’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF) program, evaluating the government’s progress on key economic reforms. Authorities have successfully met several critical benchmarks required for the third review, demonstrating their ongoing commitment to the program.

As part of these reforms, the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) is set to receive funding pledged by the World Bank, with disbursements expected to begin this month.

Since July 29, Ethiopia has been implementing an extended macroeconomic reform program supported by international partners, including the IMF and World Bank.

Under the 48-month ECF arrangement, the IMF approved a loan of USD 3.4 billion, disbursed in installments contingent on achieving reform milestones.

An IMF delegation, led by Alvaro Piris, visited Addis Ababa this week to engage with government officials, financial sector representatives, and private stakeholders. Discussions focused on Ethiopia’s homegrown economic reform agenda and broader economic challenges.

This visit marks the final quarterly review under the ECF. Since the reform was implemented, the IMF delegation has conducted two visits: one in September and another at the end of 2024. Moving forward, assessments will transition to a semi-annual schedule until the program concludes.

Ethiopia has already received nearly half of the funding allocated under its four-year program, which aims to address macroeconomic imbalances, ensure external debt sustainability, and promote private sector-driven growth.

Experts note that the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) has made significant progress in line with its agreement with the IMF, including efforts to finalize and publish audited financial statements.

Additionally, the central bank achieved a positive real policy rate ahead of the third review, primarily due to declining inflation rather than an increase in the policy rate.

A major focus of the IMF and World Bank’s support is strengthening Ethiopia’s financial sector. A key aspect of the reform involves the financial giant CBE, which has secured a government commitment to settle debts that public enterprises were unable to pay, a process that has already begun.

Under the agreement with international partners, the Ethiopian government will inject 54.7 billion birr into CBE for capital reinforcement, while the World Bank will contribute USD 650 million.

A World Bank delegation is expected to visit Ethiopia soon, with funds anticipated to start being released before the end of the month.

With the IMF’s final quarterly review completed, the executive board is expected to approve the next disbursement of over a quarter of a billion dollars, bringing Ethiopia closer to achieving its four-year reform objectives.

Global trade crisis as ICC calls for system revamp 

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The global trade system is facing unprecedented challenges as the United States implements sweeping tariff hikes, disrupting international commerce. In response, the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) has called for an urgent overhaul of the multilateral trade framework, emphasizing the need for resilience in the face of economic nationalism. Against this backdrop, Ethiopia’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) is being hailed as a critical step toward integrating into global trade and unlocking economic opportunities.

The recent tariff hikes announced by the United States have sent shockwaves through the international trade system. With the U.S. accounting for 13% of global trade, these measures have introduced new barriers that threaten to destabilize economies worldwide. ICC Secretary-General John Denton expressed concern over these developments, stating, “The rest of the world—87% of economies—wants to maintain this system. Our job is to revive it.”

Denton emphasized that the multilateral trade system must evolve to remain relevant in the 21st century. He warned that if institutions like the WTO continue to erode, their ability to deliver benefits to member states will be compromised.

Ethiopia’s accession to the WTO comes at a pivotal moment for the country’s economy. The ICC has actively encouraged Ethiopia to accelerate its membership process, highlighting the “tremendous benefits” it could bring. Denton noted that Ethiopia’s integration into the global trade system would strengthen its ability to attract investment and foster economic growth.

However, Denton cautioned that Ethiopia’s membership must coincide with efforts to revitalize the WTO itself. “If the institution is eroding, there is little point in joining,” he remarked. To ensure success, ICC is collaborating with Ethiopia and other African nations to advocate for a stronger and more inclusive multilateral trading system.

During discussions with the Addis Ababa Chamber of Commerce and Sectoral Association (AACCSA), ICC outlined plans to deepen partnerships with Ethiopian businesses and institutions. AACCSA President Zehara Mohamed emphasized her commitment to transforming this relationship into tangible business and investment activities.

ICC also highlighted its focus on dispute resolution services through its arbitration tribunal and low-cost dispute resolution hub. These initiatives aim to facilitate smoother business operations for companies of all sizes, including small and micro enterprises in Ethiopia.

The ICC’s broader agenda includes reforming global trade frameworks to address challenges posed by protectionism and economic nationalism. Through initiatives like “Making Global Justice Accessible to All,” ICC aims to deliver practical solutions for businesses navigating complex international markets.

As part of its efforts in Ethiopia, ICC is establishing an organizing committee to strengthen ties with local chambers of commerce. Special emphasis will be placed on supporting Ethiopian businesses in leveraging international trade opportunities while navigating disputes effectively.

Media Council, Media Authority clash over journalist registration 

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A dispute has emerged between the Ethiopian Media Council (EMC) and the Ethiopian Media Authority (EMA) over the registration and recognition of journalists. The EMC asserts that it has the legal mandate to register and certify journalists, citing Proclamation No. 1238/2021 as its basis. However, the EMA has issued a statement contradicting this claim, stating that the EMC lacks the authority to issue professional certifications or register journalists.

The EMC recently held a workshop in Addis Ababa to discuss the registration of journalists, professional certification, and the National Media Awards. During this event, the Council outlined plans to develop a uniform digital ID for media professionals, which would provide international recognition and help ensure journalists’ safety by reducing harassment and advocating for them in case of attacks.

However, the EMA’s statement rejecting the EMC’s authority has sparked controversy. The EMC has criticized the EMA’s stance as “irrelevant and vague,” suggesting that it undermines the reputation of both institutions. The Council argues that these issues should be resolved through dialogue rather than public statements.

The EMC claims that previous officials of the EMA understood the concept of professional identity registration and that agreements were made at the signature level before the current dispute arose. The Council speculates that the misunderstanding may stem from a lack of familiarity with the issue by new officials at the EMA.

The EMC emphasizes that the registration and certification of journalists are crucial for promoting responsible journalism, enhancing accountability, and aligning Ethiopia’s media practices with international standards.

The EMC has expressed its readiness to engage in immediate discussions with the EMA to resolve the dispute. With 102 media outlets nationwide, the Council believes that a swift resolution is necessary to avoid further confusion and ensure clarity on the roles of both institutions.

The EMC questions why providing identification to its members should be problematic, highlighting the importance of such measures for accurately counting the number of journalists in the country.

Boosting Ethiopia’s Financial Market: A Strategic Partnership for Growth

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By Dr Yemi Kale (Group Chief Economist, Managing Director, Research, Afreximbank)

With contributions from: Mr. Cyril Bitanda (Head of Trade Finance, Afreximbank) Mr. Omar Badr El-Din (Senior Manager, Client Relations, Afreximbank)

The story of Africa’s banking sector is one of resilience and transformation. From its roots in pre-colonial barter systems and trans-Saharan trade to today’s technology-driven financial systems, the sector has evolved significantly. Yet, despite this progress, Africa’s banking sector continues to face persistent challenges—challenges that are now compounded by an increasingly fragmented global financial environment.

In recent years, a notable retreat of international banks from the African market has placed further strain on cross-border trade and limited access to international financing. The continent’s fragmented regulatory landscape, has only added to these obstacles, making it difficult for indigenous banks to integrate fully with global markets. Many African banks face stringent international regulations, limited networks, and restricted access to international correspondent banking services.

However, the crucial role of financial institutions in Africa’s economic development remains undiminished. Beyond providing credit and facilitating trade, financial institutions are vital agents of inclusive growth, employment creation, and economic stability. This is especially true in Ethiopia—a country of over 120 million people, the second most populous nation in Africa, with an impressive GDP growth forecast of 6.5% in 2025[1]. Ethiopia is on an ambitious path to achieve lower middle-income status by mid-2025, supported by a market liberalization strategy that includes a market-determined exchange rate, removal of current account restrictions, and modernization of its monetary policy framework.

Against this backdrop, Ethiopia’s financial sector has an essential role to play in ensuring that the country’s growth is equitable and sustainable. Local banks will need to be better equipped to attract international capital, facilitate cross-border trade, and meet international standards of compliance and transparency.

Bridging the Gap: Afreximbank’s Payment Solutions

Despite global interconnectedness, African banks face challenges in accessing correspondent banking services, which are crucial for international payments and trade, largely due to risk-averse policies, compliance pressures, and persistent misperceptions about Africa’s financial systems. Ethiopian banks, like their counterparts across the continent, are no exception to this marginalisation. At the heart of this problem is the phenomenon of “de-risking,” where international banks, wary of regulatory penalties or perceived instability, scale back relationships with African counterparties. The consequences are far-reaching: increased transaction costs, longer settlement periods, and restricted access to global markets. To address this challenge,  Afreximbank has developed practical and innovative solutions aimed at enhancing Africa’s financial infrastructure and easing access to international markets. Staying true to its mandate of “Transforming Africa’s Trade,” the Bank has introduced a suite of trade payment solutions designed to build confidence among international counterparties and bridge the correspondent banking gap faced by many African banks.

One such solution is the Afreximbank Trade Payment Services (AfPAY)—a platform that has enabled over 400 banks across the continent to access international markets seamlessly. In 2024 alone, AfPAY facilitated the settlement of international trade transactions valued at USD 32 billion, ensuring orderly and efficient payment flows. Under AfPAY, clients would also have access to Call deposit and fixed-term deposit account services.  These interest-bearing accounts serve as investment accounts into which excess or idle cash may be transferred into competitive interest and flexible access to funds

Complementing AfPAY is the Afreximbank Trade Facilitation (AFTRAF) Programme, which addresses the challenge of international banks withdrawing trade lines from African financial institutions due to perceived risks. AFTRAF provides much-needed liquidity and guarantees to African banks, supporting their ability to maintain and grow cross-border trade relationships. In Ethiopia, AfTRAF has been quite successful as Afreximbank was able to confirm trade instruments in excess of USD 2bn in the last 3 years in favour of several Ethiopian banks. These instruments supported the importation of essential goods and commodities including petroleum products, trucks, fertilizers and edible oil, among others.

These initiatives are underpinned by a robust compliance framework that ensures the highest standards of financial integrity. This framework includes risk-based due diligence, comprehensive Know Your Customer (KYC) checks, and the assignment of an African Legal Entity Identifier (ALEI) for transparency in international transactions. Regular monitoring and adherence to global best practices further safeguard against financial crime and related risks.

A Path Forward for Ethiopia

The benefits of these initiatives extend beyond technology and trade facilitation. By enhancing trust and transparency in financial transactions, Afreximbank’s solutions foster investor confidence, increase access to international capital, and contribute to sustainable economic growth.

For Ethiopia, this is an opportunity to leverage these tools as part of its broader economic reforms agenda. A stronger, more connected, and compliant financial sector will not only drive domestic growth but also position the country as a key player in Africa’s emerging intra-regional trade ecosystem. As Ethiopia moves forward on its path to become a middle-income economy, partnerships like those with Afreximbank will be essential in shaping a resilient and inclusive financial future.