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Fighting COVID 19

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Dr. Tegbar Yigzaw is a physician, public health specialist and Human Resource for Health (HRH) expert with more than 18 years of work experience with Ethiopia’s health and higher education systems. Between 2012 and 2019, he served as the Technical Director for the USAID-funded Strengthening Human Resources for Health Project at Jhpiego. Among other contributions, Dr. Tegbar supported the Government of Ethiopia to develop a national HRH strategic plan strengthen accreditation systems, establish national licensing examinations, reform curricula; strengthen internal quality assurance systems; advance faculty teaching skills, standardize and institutionalize in-service training and continuing professional development systems; and generate HRH research and evidence. Dr. Tegbar also has years of experience with Ethiopia’s higher education system as an educator, leader, advisor, and resource person. He was formerly an Assistant Professor of Public Health and Head of the School of Public Health at The University of Gondar. At present, he is an adjunct faculty at Jimma University, teaching and advising postgraduate health professions education students. He is also a member of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education Advisory Council. Dr. Tegbar received an MD from Jimma University in 2001, MPH from Addis Ababa University in 2005, Fellowship in medical education from FAIMER Institute, USA, in 2011 and PhD from Vrije University, Netherlands, in 2017. He talked to capital about the Ethiopian government preparation to fight the global pandemics coronavirus. Excerpts;
Capital: How do you evaluate the newly emerged COVID 19?
Dr. Tegbar Yigzaw: COVID 19 is a new strain disaster; we never saw such kind of disasters in our lifetime. If we ask how and why the pandemic has a capacity to damage thousands of life’s at a time, it does not give time to find the cure, the virus spreads all over the world within a short period of time. It can be said that the pandemic is resulting in the worst damages not only on the health also economically and socially after the Second World War. Within three months the virus has attacked more than a million people in 200 countries, even the developed and wealthy countries which has a strong health system are suffering a lot by the pandemic. For example if we see Italy, it is the second European country to have strong health system, but could not stand the damage of the pandemic, they are asking support from other countries.
Most of the countries are taking measures to control the virus through social distancing; countries are locking down their borders, minimize the effect since there is no cure.
Capital: How could Ethiopia minimize the effects of the pandemic? What should be done to minimize the effects and what are the challenges?
Dr. Tegbar: It is already known that the virus also gets in Ethiopia, we have found out some numbers, but it doesn’t mean the victim is only those numbers. We have such a weak health system, we don’t have the capacity both in human resources and logistics to serve thousands of patients if the pandemic spreads highly, the other thing is that we don’t have the medical supplies and protective materials to health care workers. If the virus continues to spread it will be difficult for us.
The most important thing is that we already know how the virus is transmitted from one to another, it makes it easy to do prevention to minimize the damages; the government is working with its full capacity.
Both the government and health workers are primarily acting to control the spread, especially by overseeing countries experiences who has successfully control the spread including South Korea and China, even if the virus has emerged from China the country act fast and control the newly emerging virus but if we see the USA and other European countries they are suffering a lot, they did not respond fast for the spread and prevention.
We have to make ready our health centers, health care materials medicines, protective materials. we do not have the capacity to serve lots of people at a time even the country cannot serve more than 500 critical patients both in private and government level, the virus affects breathing system so we have to be ready by preparing ventilators which are critical in treating the victims, we have to train our health workers about the virus, how it is transmitted from person to person, what should they do when they treat patients and protect themself from getting infected, cause we have a small number of health workers, we have to protect them.
If it is beyond our permanent health centers, we have to prepare additional temporary centers.
One of the measures to prevent the spread is that we have to find out the cases, the real cases and victims of the virus and quarantine them, those who have a symptom of the virus and mainly those who came from most affected countries. If someone sees the symptoms they have to isolate themself, they have to go to health centers.
And the other thing is that if you didn’t meet with the person with the virus you will never get infected, however, it is difficult to know who is affected and who is not, that is why health workers advice to stay at home and avoid public gatherings, this is not only for selected groups this is for everybody, everyone should practice it.
We have to keep our distance, avoid hand shacks and touches we have to wash our hands every 20 minutes.
Regularly and thoroughly clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them.
Maintain at least 1-meter distance between yourself and anyone who is coughing or sneezing. Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth Hands touch many surfaces and can pick up viruses. Once contaminated, hands can transfer the virus to your eyes, nose or mouth. From there, the virus can enter your body and can make you sick. Practice respiratory hygiene Make sure you, and the people around you, follow good respiratory hygiene. This means covering your mouth and nose with your bent elbow or tissue when you cough or sneeze. Then dispose of the used tissue immediately. Droplets spread the virus. By following good respiratory hygiene you protect the people around you from viruses such as cold, flu and COVID-19. If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical care early.
Stay home if you feel unwell. If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical attention and call in advance. Follow the directions of your local health authority. The only way to prevention is meticulous our self from the virus If we all play our own role on the prevention it will be simple, studies on the virus suggests that only two peoples are dying per 100 patients, although when the number of the patient rises the number of death also rise.
One of the challenges is, because of the lack of sufficient hospitals and expertise we may focus on the cases of the virus and other patients will be forgotten, so the death may rise not only in the case of the virus but also on other patients.
Capital: Starting from the outbreak of the virus, there was check-up at airports for passengers who came from abroad, but including the first case there were certain cases found out after joining the public, how could that happen? Do you think that there will be other cases?
Dr. Tegbar: The thing is that the patient may stay normal for some days without showing the symptoms from 5 to 14 days, however, even if the symptoms are hidden the virus can still be transmitted from one to another, checking the high temperature is not the only way to find out whether he/she is a victim or not, so the passengers may seem well when they came, but sow the symptom after joining the public.
In my assumption there were two option, one was to minimize our flights especially to those highly affected countries, or to quarantine all the travelers, we are doing this but it was better if we were taking this kind of measures from the beginning.
Capital: Ethiopian medical associations and the government has formed a task force to help the control and the prevention of the virus what does it do?
Dr. Tegbar: When the pandemic starts highly spreading in the world, associations starts to move to form a task force to help Ministry of Health on the fight against the virus. The task force will help the ministry on the privation and control by assessing different global experiences, how does the virus spread what should be done, who are most masquerade to the virus.

COVID-19 drives Sub-Saharan Africa toward first recession in 25 years

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Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa has been significantly impacted by the ongoing coronavirus outbreak and is forecast to fall sharply from 2.4% in 2019 to -2.1 to -5.1% in 2020, the first recession in the region over the past 25 years, according to the latest Africa’s Pulse, the World Bank’s twice-yearly economic update for the region.
“The COVID-19 pandemic is testing the limits of societies and economies across the world, and African countries are likely to be hit particularly hard,” said Hafez Ghanem, World Bank Vice President for Africa. “We are rallying all possible resources to help countries meet people’s immediate health and survival needs while also safeguarding livelihoods and jobs in the longer term – including calling for a standstill on official bilateral debt service payments which would free up funds for strengthening health systems to deal with COVID 19 and save lives, social safety nets to save livelihoods and help workers who lose jobs, support to small and medium enterprises, and food security.”
The Pulse authors recommend that African policymakers focus on saving lives and protecting livelihoods by focusing on strengthening health systems and taking quick actions to minimize disruptions in food supply chains. They also recommend implementing social protection programs, including cash transfers, food distribution and fee waivers, to support citizens, especially those working in the informal sector.
The analysis shows that COVID-19 will cost the region between $37 billion and $79 billion in output losses for 2020 due to a combination of effects. They include trade and value chain disruption, which impacts commodity exporters and countries with strong value chain participation; reduced foreign financing flows from remittances, tourism, foreign direct investment, foreign aid, combined with capital flight; and through direct impacts on health systems, and disruptions caused by containment measures and the public response.
While most countries in the region have been affected to different degrees by the pandemic, real gross domestic product growth is projected to fall sharply particularly in the region’s three largest economies – Nigeria, Angola, and South Africa- as a result of persistently weak growth and investment. In general, oil exporting-countries will also be hard-hit; while growth is also expected to weaken substantially in the two fastest growing areas-the West African Economic and Monetary Union and the East African Community-due to weak external demand, disruptions to supply chains and domestic production. The region’s tourism sector is expected to contract sharply due to severe disruption to travel.
The COVID-19 crisis also has the potential to spark a food security crisis in Africa, with agricultural production potentially contracting between 2.6% in an optimistic scenario and up to 7% if there are trade blockages. Food imports would decline substantially (as much as 25% or as little as 13%) due to a combination of higher transaction costs and reduced domestic demand.
Several African countries have reacted quickly and decisively to curb the potential influx and spread of the coronavirus, very much in line with international guidelines. However, the report points out several factors that pose challenges to the containment and mitigation measures, in particular the large and densely populated urban informal settlements, poor access to safe water and sanitation facilities, and fragile health systems. Ultimately, the magnitude of the impact will depend on the public’s reaction within respective countries, the spread of the disease, and the policy response. And these factors together could lead to reduced labor market participation, capital underutilization, lower human capital accumulation, and long-term productivity effects.
“In addition to containment measures, we have seen that in responding to COVID-19, countries are opting for a combination of emergency fiscal and monetary policy actions with many central banks in the region taking important actions like cutting interest rates and providing extraordinary liquidity assistance,” said Albert Zeufack, Chief Economist for Africa at the World Bank. “However, it is important to ensure that fiscal policy builds in space for social protection interventions, especially targeting workers in the informal sector, and sows the seed for future resilience of our economies.”
The authors emphasize the need for a customized policy response to reflect the structure of African economies (especially the large informal sector) and the peculiar constraints policymakers currently face, particularly the deteriorating fiscal positions and heightened public debt vulnerabilities, and the overall low operational capacity to respond.
“The immediate measures are important but there is no doubt there will be need for some sort of debt relief from bilateral creditors to secure the resources urgently needed to fight COVID-19 and to help manage or maintain macroeconomic stability in the region,” said Cesar Calderon, Lead Economist and Lead author of the report.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, economic circumstances within countries and regions are fluid and change on a day-by-day basis. The macroeconomic analysis in the report is based on data available by the first quarter of March 2020.
The World Bank Group is taking broad, fast action to help developing countries strengthen their pandemic response, increase disease surveillance, improve public health interventions, and help the private sector continue to operate and sustain jobs. It is deploying up to $160 billion in financial support over the next 15 months to help countries protect the poor and vulnerable, support businesses, and bolster economic recovery.

Ethiopia ban corpse of those who died of COVID-19

554 people who were quarantined released after being tested negative

Airline operators are banned to transport a corpse which is known to have acquired coronavirus into the country aiming to prevent the virus transmission.
In a letter the Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI) wrote to Ethiopian Civil Aviation Authority, the institute disclosed that the case of COVID 19 and its transmission manners is new and still under study.
The letter signed by Aschalew Abayneh, Deputy Director of EPHI, added that any contact with the infected body is highly contagious and the virus will be transmitted to others.
“For the sake of protecting the society from COVID 19 outbreak the Ethiopian Civil Aviation Authority should inform airline operators not to transport coronavirus infected corpse to the country,” the letter states.
Tamiru Tadesse, EPHI’s COVID Response Team Leader at Ethiopian Airports Enterprise, told Capital that usually the institute is undertaking body test for any transmitted diseases at the airport.
“At this time of the pandemic we are looking the matter separately since we have to control the virus,” he said.
He said that as per the letter the country will never receive COVID 19 infected corpse.
He expressed his expectation from the authority to address the information to all the operators that fly to the country.
“So far there were not any contaminated corpse arrived and it will never,” he added.
In Ethiopia most of the effected individuals are those who returned to the country from different corner of the world.
As of March 23 the government applied forced quarantine for travelers who come from abroad.
The virus has infected over 1.6 million people in the world and tens of thousands died because of the virus. Several media reports stated that several Ethiopia diaspora members also lost their life because of the virus.
The influence of coronavirus has affected several activities in the world, while the aviation industry particularly public transport is suspended in most of the destinations in the world and airline operators has also suspended their service fully or some of them only operates in a very limited level of their capacity.
The cargo service is ongoing meanwhile the effect of the virus limited the economic activity in the world.
In related development Minister of Health Lia Tadesse said 554 people who were quarantined for 14 days in different parts of Addis Ababa were released after all of them tested negative for the deadly coronavirus.
The government of Ethiopia introduced forced quarantined measures against passengers arriving in Addis Ababa from any part of the world in a bid to stem the spread of COVID-19.
The passengers were quarantined in selected hotels with their own expenses and those who could not cover their hotel accommodations were quarantined on university grounds and schools.
The minister called on the public to refrain from any discrimination against those passengers who were quarantined upon arrival for health safety purposes.
According to the minister, currently, there are 2036 people who are still in quarantine centers where their health status is followed by health professionals.
The minister said the quarantine activities which are being done upon the recommendations of the World Health Organization were fruitful.

25 million jobs at risk with airline shutdown

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The International Air Transport Association has released new analysis showing that some 25 million jobs are at risk of disappearing with plummeting demand for air travel amid the COVID-19 crisis.
Globally, the livelihoods of some 65.5 million people are dependent on the aviation industry, including sectors such as travel and tourism. Among these are 2.7 million airlines jobs. In a scenario of severe travel restrictions lasting for three months, IATA research calculates that 25 million jobs in aviation and related sectors are endangered across the world. These are 11.2 million jobs in Asia-Pacific, 5.6 million jobs in Europe, 2.9 million jobs in Latin America, 2 million jobs in North America, 2 million jobs in Africa, and 0.9 million jobs in the Middle East.
In the same scenario, airlines are expected to see full year passenger revenues fall by $252 billion (-44%) in 2020 compared to 2019. The second quarter is the most critical with demand falling 70% at its worst point, and airlines burning through $61 billion in cash.
Airlines are calling on governments to provide immediate financial aid to help airlines to remain viable businesses able to lead the recovery when the pandemic is contained. Specifically, IATA calls for direct financial support, loans, loan guarantees and support for the corporate bond market, and tax relief.
“There are no words to adequately describe the devastating impact of COVID-19 on the airline industry. And the economic pain will be shared by 25 million people who work in jobs dependent upon airlines. Airlines must be viable businesses so that they can lead the recovery when the pandemic is contained. A lifeline to the airlines now is critical,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.
Alongside vital financial relief, the industry will also need careful planning and coordination to ensure that airlines are ready when the pandemic is contained.
“We have never shuttered the industry on this scale before. Consequently, we have no experience in starting it up. It will be complicated. At the practical level, we will need contingencies for licenses and certifications that have expired. We will have to adapt operations and processes to avoid reinfections via imported cases. And we must find a predictable and efficient approach to managing travel restrictions which need to be lifted before we can get back to work. These are just some of the major tasks that are ahead of us. And to be successful, industry and government must be aligned and working together,” said de Juniac.
IATA is scoping a comprehensive approach to re-booting the industry when governments and public health authorities allow. A multi-stakeholder approach will be essential. One initial step is a series of virtual meetings-or summits-on a regional basis, bringing together governments and industry stakeholders.