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Privatize slowly

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Getachew Beshahwred is a fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales. Currently, he is Managing Director of GB & Co, a firm of Chartered Accountants and Registered Auditors. He is a graduate of accounting from Addis Ababa University where he lectured for three years after graduation.
Getachew has over 25 years of experience in accounting, auditing and taxation. He was Senior Manager of Accounts, Audit and Taxation before he set up GB & CO in 2004.Getachew provides consultancy services, including file reviews, to a number of other firms of chartered and certified accountants. Capital sat with him to talk about the trends of Ethiopian privatization and the stock market. He says ownership and efficiency does not have a cause and effect relationship. Privatization should be Ethiopian privatization, based on deep analysis and discussions with scholars, sector by sector. He presented a paper on the privatization experience of the United Kingdom during the Privatization and Stock market regional Conference and Exhibition organizsed by HST and CAPITAL. Excerpts;

Capital: Has Ethiopia waited too long to privatize?
Getachew Beshahwred: Yes, it is late but not too late. It seems the government has already decided to embark upon privatization starting with Ethio Telecom in 2020. However, my advice is to wait a little bit longer and continue with this conversation with all stakeholders and allow all companies under consideration for privatization to restructure/ reorganize and become more efficient and more competitive. At the same time, we need to develop the necessary legal and regulatory structure including workers’ rights-working conditions and a minimum wage. When ready the government can then decide, for each company, whether they should continue under public ownership, and the method of privatization if privatization is the preferred option not pushed up by foreign agencies or for reducing the deficit.

Capital: Most people think that, public owned companies are inefficient, is there any correlation between ownership and efficiency?
Getachew Beshahwred: Generally, when we see public held companies as compared with private counterpart they are less efficient, because of that, there is a generalization that publicly held companies are well performed but it is not necessarily true. Ownership by itself is not hindrance, it about the quality of leadership determined the efficiency, there is no reason that a certain company would be profitable, if independently operate without political intervention. However, the attitude of the owner, in this case government matter a lot. Private companies operate in a way to engage in commercial mentality to earn more and the public owned firms should also do on the same manner. In this regards, Ethiopian Airlines is the best example to mention. In 2018, Ethiopian Airlines’ net profit margins were 6.4 percent while the net profit margins of The International Air Transport Association (IATA) group as whole was between 3.9 and 4 percent, you can actually see that government owned companies are performing very well. Similar cases are there in Ethiopian Airlines which is well suited to compete globally, it is the attitude of the owner actually. Therefore, this no cause and effect relationship between ownership and efficiency, rather there is a cause and effect relationship between competition and efficiency, to bring efficiency you don’t necessarily need privatization. You can create a competitive environment where the market is crafted by the government and the rules and regulations that the government crafts to envisage a competitive environment to allow others to enter the market. The only thing we need to do it is to make our existing public owned companies more competitive, allow them time to become competitive, otherwise if we just open up the market before they are ready, it will be a mess for the country. The bottom line is, there are a lot of ways to make a certain firm competitive, change of ownerships alone doesn’t achieve efficiency.

Capital: Some factories like, Bahir Dar textile factory, were transferred to regional states or endowments, can we say that they are privatized?
Getachew Beshahwred: Well I heard about it, but still it is government ownership, it is actually transferred from the national government to local government, if this was to privatize, it is just wasting time and resources, I don’t know the logic why they did that, in the face of privatization doesn’t make any sense. There are also companies owned by political parties.

(Photo: Anteneh Aklilu)

Capital: How have the policies of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed affected privatization?
Getachew Beshahwred: The first thing is this kind of venue is important to share experiences the proverb goes as a clever man learns from his own mistakes, but a wise man learns from the mistakes of others. We need to look to other countries how thing gone so far. In principle, to go for privatization is maybe right, but we have to take time and deeply analyze the trends; to choose the better that suits us. We don’t need to rush for it pushed by foreign agencies and governments. Therefore as a country we need to see what is good for us. And we should do it sector by sector, there is a presumption that private are good and public is bad, which are promoted by many. No! It is not the case, there are areas where privates are good and better when government handle it, and still there are areas where the two can do together, what we call the private public partnership (PPP), so the government has to really consider what is best for the country.

Capital: What should Ethiopia’s privatization look like?
Getachew Beshahwred: Our privatization should be Ethiopian privatization. We shouldn’t be pushed by outsiders in any case even for budgetary issues. Budget deficit come and go but if you lose institutions which have been built over so many years we cannot get back once we lose them. It is good to embark on the privatization but with due cautions and consulting Ethiopian experts both inside and outside. The biggest treat for the privatizations is the political conditions that hinder in attracting foreign investors.
As a country we must unite and work hard to reduce the political tension and to attract investors.

Capital: Many scholars are against the privatization of Ethiopian Airlines what is your opinion?
Getachew Beshahwred: As far as Ethiopian Airlines is concerned, I see no reason for privatization. With the sale of ET we will lose much more than what we might gain. It is competitive and efficient as compared to other similar even bigger airlines. I cannot imagine any other airline whose safety reputation would improve after a major crash, as it happened with ET. It is wining prizes, for both the airline and its leadership, year after year. No wonder why many foreign investors cannot wait to put their hands on ET.
As it has done in the last 70 years it should improve, restructure and reorganize to continue with its astonishing growth. It is a service company and like any other service company its service will be as good as its employees. It should be able to recruit and train the best and retain them. It is a national pride and it should be kept that way. It belongs to us all not just to the government, the board or the executives. Like those before them, they are caretakers. It is a good advertisement for the country. It is Ethiopian. In the worst-case scenario, after privatization, at some point in the future, the name Ethiopian could disappear from Ethiopian Airlines. The desire to keep ET in public hands is not just sentimental but is also based on hard facts-business. In addition, ET has value to Ethiopia and Ethiopians which cannot be measured, under any valuation technique.
In short, No ET should not be privatized.

Capital: What about Ethio-telecom?
Getachew Beshahwred: With ethio telecom there are two things, we have to see sector by sector what is good for the country, the first is to make and push the company to become more efficient. Then, the government can partially privatize or open the market for other firms to compete with ethio-telecom.

Capital: What is your opinion about starting the stock market?
Getachew Beshahwred: It seems the government has made up its mind to set up a stock market and the business community supports this idea. Hence the question at this time is what kind of stock market do we need and how soon. Yes, we need a stock market. However, once more we need to ensure that we have the necessary skilled man power, technology and regulatory structure in order to start and run a stock market even in its simplest form. My fear is that at this stage we do not have the necessary human resources, institutions and legal and regulatory framework to start a stock market and I am not convinced enough is being done.
Hence, we should start it in its simplest form. It is likely that almost all banks and insurance companies could be listed immediately at the establishment of a stock market and others could follow. That would be a good starting base. However, the banks and the insurance companies in my view do not have the necessary capacity/skill/human resources/technology to assist in the establishment and operation of a stock market and I do not see any significant preparation. That worries me. There should be a program of training both at home and abroad. We cannot afford to do this on the basis of trial and error. We also need to learn from other successful stock markets and from those that are not so successful.

Capital: The problem of skilled human power in the field in your discipline may be one of the challenges, what can we say about that?
Getachew Beshahwred: In my view the training and regulation of accountants and auditors should be strengthened as a preparation for privatization and the establishment of a Stock Exchange. In May this year, I had a chance to meet the immediate past Director General of the Ethiopian Accounting and Auditing Standards Board and we have discussed a number of areas, (training, regulation and enforcement) where improvements are needed, in view of the forthcoming privatization and the establishment of a stock exchange. I will try to have further conversation with the current leadership. The profession in consultation with the government, the business community and other stake holders needs to develop new training and qualification programs and a regulatory framework that is fit for the future business environment.
Finally I would like to say that we are in an exciting time in Ethiopia. The reward is huge but that can be achieved only if we are united as a people and country.

Impulse links tech with Agriculture

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USD 250,000 prize for best start-up

OCP Africa a subsidiary of OCP Group is launching a start-up acceleration programme called Impulse, in a bid to to build linkages between corporations and start-ups using Agri tech solutions to help unlock Ethiopia’s agricultural potential.
The programme was launched last Tuesday at Sheraton Addis Hotel in the presence of incubators and the OCP country director to brief on the overall scheme of the programme that makes Ethiopia the last stop following the success of the Impulse Program in Ghana, Nigeria and Ivory Coast.
The Impulse program offers numerous advantages to accelerate the development of innovative start-ups including mentoring, coaching, and access to potential business opportunities.
The Impulse program is a 12-week acceleration program dedicated to innovative startups in the fields of Agritech, Biotech, Mining tech and Materials Science & Nano Engineering which was designed in partnership with OCP Group and Mohammed and the 6th Polytechnic University.
“The ultimate goal of the project is to maximize the yield so to increase the revenue of African farmers,” said, Mahdi Filani, OCP Ethiopia Country Director.
The Impulse program targets start-ups operating in fields related to the value chain of OCP Group and UM6P’s research agenda to help Africa’s agriculture sector increase its productivity in a sustainable manner
“The agricultural transformation in Ethiopia represents a unique opportunity for Agritech start-ups and we believe the Impulse start-up acceleration program can add value to develop Ethiopia’s agriculture sector, through innovative technologies.” he adds.
“Impulse can play a significant role in the acceleration of innovative technologies that are transforming agri-businesses and smallholder farming techniques in Ethiopia, a country where over eighty percent of the population is engaged in agriculture,” said, Adnane Alaoui Soulimani, Impulse Program Director.
OCP Africa, a subsidiary of OCP Group is a leading global provider of phosphate and its derivatives with almost 100 years of experience. Based in Morocco, OCP Africa, was created to work hand-in-hand with farmers to contribute to unlocking Africa’s vast, diversity and complex needs of Africa’s soils, and is committed to offering the right fertilizer products at the right time, in the right place, at the right price.
Study trips to the ecosystems of Boston and Lausanne, and a 250,000 USD cash prize to be shared between winning start-ups on the final day.
“OCP always works to Creating sustainable partnerships with entrepreneurs, to create more opportunities for youth and women in the agricultural sector,” Soulimani says.

TOTAL Ethiopia inaugurates service center

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TOTAL Ethiopia SC inaugurated Yeka Total Quartz auto service (TQAS) which was built at a cost of 4 million birr around Megenagna area in Yeka district last Tuesday. Since 2017 the company has invested over 40 million birr for the construction of these service centers across the nation.
The company covered the entire cost for Yeka TQAS center and was built by Total in-house engineers under strict supervision to meet standards.
Owned by Ermiyas Yishak, dealers of Yeka TQAS, the construction took two years.
Out of the 52 TASQS centers, 32 are built in Addis Ababa and the remaining 20 were built in different parts of the country. They created 169 job opportunities.
All the centers work to follow strict ways of disposing of waste material so as to better protect the environment.
Total has come with a new concept called Total Quartz auto service(TQAS) for quick oil change centers under Total banners developed with local partners which was fully started by Total Ethiopia in 2017.
“Under the TQAS, Total offers personalized service with no appointments with a clearly displayed price and quality service including free advice,” said Thibault Lesueur, managing director of Total Ethiopia SC.
Total Ethiopia’s is engaged in Marketing of fuels, lubricants, LPG, Bitumen and other specialties. It currently operates a distribution service station network numbering 153 throughout Ethiopia.
According to the managing director, Total Ethiopia has 17 percent of the market share in Ethiopia’s oil and gas distribution and delivers high quality lubricants. However, a shortage of hard currency hit the market for the last two years which resulted in an increase in the price of the products.
Total Ethiopia is the only company that has built an independent depot in 2016 at Dukem with a storage capacity that can serve for more than a month.
Established 69 years ago, Total Ethiopia has acquired ex-Mobil facilities and business in Ethiopia and has been extensively supplying all kinds of petroleum products for the government, private and international companies.
For the next two years, Total has a plan to open additional 100 centers Lesueur told Capital.

Ethiopia needs $10bln per year to achieve goals

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The country might need USD 10 billion a year to achieve its ambitious programs and planned reforms.
In a discussion with international partners and the donor community at the Home Grown Economic Reform designed by the government to be implemented in the coming three years. Vera Songwe, Executive Secretary of the Economic Commission for Africa, said that the donor community should get behind a USD ten billion ask in order to support Ethiopia’s attempt to create 2 million jobs in fields like ICT, agriculture and transportation.
“Ethiopia currently has a USD 10 billion gap – 6 billion in new investment and 4 billion of debt reduction per year – that must be bridged in order to achieve its reform aspirations,” she said.
The Executive Secretary of ECA said Ethiopia’s aspiration to grow from USD 865 to 2219 in GDP per capita was “very ambitious” but that it was doable, citing the success stories of China, Laos, and Vietnam.
International partners like the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, and other donor community members appreciated clearly stated past evaluation and future challenges.
“I appreciated the government’s honesty at looking at the past and challenges in the future,” Carolyn Turk, Country Director of the World Bank for Ethiopia said.
She said it was a deeply ambitious and achievable program.
“Quite ambitious program and even though it is ambitious it is a doable,” Songwe said.
“Several months in the making and spearheaded by some of Ethiopia’s finest minds, our initiative aims to propel Ethiopia into becoming the African icon of prosperity by 2030,” said Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia.
He made the remarks on 9 September during an event to unveil the Reform Agenda at the United Nations Conference Centre in Addis Ababa.
The Agenda outlines macroeconomic, structural and sectoral reforms that will pave the way for job creation, poverty reduction, and inclusive growth.
Abiy stated that the private sector was crucial for the next chapter of Ethiopia’s growth and development. Consequently, he said, we have “opened up key economic activities to private investments,” adding that these measures will “surely be reflected in Ethiopia’s ease of doing business ranking.”
The PM pointed out that to ensure the success of the Agenda: “we are tightening our fiscal belts, strengthening our public sector finances, shedding our debts, and increasing domestic resource mobilization.”
The Agenda prioritizes sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, mining, tourism, and ICT.
“If you continue to accumulate debt the way you’re doing now, you will likely fall into debt distress in the next two years and a lot of the structural reforms you have put in place will not bring in the private sector because you will not be a credit-worthy country,” Songwe said.
She recommended paving the way for independent power purchases (IPPs) in a reformed energy sector as a quick-win that can demonstrate the country’s credibility.
The homegrown economic reform has three major pillars; macroeconomic, structural and sectoral reforms. “The economic reform should have holistic and comprehensive approaches that the macroeconomic reform will see foreign exchange imbalance, inflation, access to finance and debt stress, and structural reform will also solve the bureaucratic challenges, doing business and sectoral reform looks at specific problems in every sector,” Eyob said.
Recently Eyob Tekalign, State Minister of Finance, said that the National Bank of Ethiopia under its reform program is working to improve the financial sector regulation. He said all banks including the two public financial firms would be seen equally by the NBE based on the experience of international banks.