Saturday, October 4, 2025
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Climate change, water scarcity jeopardize exports, start rations

The Ministry of Water, Electricity and Irrigation (MoWEI) on Friday announced that it has been facing a critical water shortage at a power generation dam, forcing it to proportionally decrease and quit power exports and start power shedding nationwide. The country is experiencing a power shortage of 426 MW.
Briefing reporters about electric power shedding, Sileshi Bekele Minister of MoWEI said that the decline in the amount of water in the power generating dam is causing trouble for Ethiopia’s power export and power distribution nationwide. Ethiopia earns a total of 82 USD from power exports.

Climate change is affecting the eastern and south eastern part of the country. Uneven distribution of rain and drought is negatively impacting the Gibe 3 power dam which has a capacity of generating 1870 MW as the water in the reservoir currently drops by 15 meters compared to last year’s 834 meter amount.
The minister said it is waiting for the rainy season and added that the disparity has occurred between demand and supply of electric power due to the ever increasing demand related to the conducive investment opportunities.
Currently the country needs 2,500 MW of power, as a result of this, power shedding has already started. It was going on for ten days without being disclosed to the public before and will continue for the coming two or three months.
“Power export to Djibouti has been minimized proportionally and we have totally stopped exporting to Sudan for technical reasons,” Sileshi adds.
Cement factories have been forced to operate only for 15 days per month, metal manufacturing companies will get 24 hour shifts and stone crushing plants will be banned to increase power which the ministry believes will improve during the upcoming rainy season.
Food processing manufactures including bottled water, pharmaceutical factories and export oriented companies and higher educational institutions are exempted from power shedding.
Households will get five hours a day in three shifts assuming electricity is a basic need allowing them to perform their task within that five given hours.
According to the minister, Ethiopia has connected 44 percent of the population to electricity sources in which 33 percent are from grid and 11 percent off-grid services.
The Ethiopia government hopes to increase the electricity generation capacity from the current 4,300 MW to 17,300 MW by 2020, utilizing hydro, wind, geothermal, solar and biomass energy sources.

Study examines possible price cap return

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The Trade Practices and Consumer Protection Authority (TPCPA) has initiated a new draft study and taken it to the Ministry of Trade and Industry to set a profit margin on basic manufacturing products like cement, steel, and food items which are often asked for by consumers and other products prone to destabilizing Ethiopia’s economy.
The draft study which has yet to be sent to the Council of Ministers and Parliament for ratification may set up a 20 to 30 percent profit margin if it is ratified.
The Ministry of Trade which is deeply reviewing the study is expected to forward comments on it in a short period of time and then bring a report to the Council of Ministers.
Sources form TPCP told Capital that the aim of the profit margin is not to interfere with the balance sheet of companies. Rather, it is meant to stabilize the market that has faced recurrent inflation.
“For a couple of years products like cement and steel have been selling at high prices and have been erratic, without any economic reason. The Government does not want to impose price controls but at the same time it can’t stand by and watch people suffer, so the issue needs to be discussed. We have to formulate something when consumers are affected.’’
“The study is also looking at ways to protect the market from unwanted trade practices and competition.’’
The then Prime Minister Meles Zenawi was trying to set price caps to stabilize the market but due to wide opposition from traders, the government lifted them. Eventually, prices of manufacturing and consumer foods and products rose.
Teke Redai, an economist, told Capital that the government should increase the production of products rather than limit the profit margins.
“The basic thing we have to do is increase products. When products increase price will not go up frequently as some business group wish. So to increase products we must encourage our citizens to start more businesses.’’
“When we come to profit margin, the government should exactly know the cost of the production of the factories otherwise it will be difficult to determine the correct cost or set a profit margin,” he added. Currently, only fuel is subject to price caps.

Ministry asked for sales machine upgrade

Sales register machine manufacturers are calling on the government to utilize the latest technology in order to maintain the accuracy of the machines and increase tax revenue.
Cash register machines were introduced at the beginning of 2008 in Addis and currently are in use throughout Ethiopia with many businesses now operating them. Experts say using the machines properly allows the government to trace business sales and obtain accurate direct and indirect taxes. Even though the number of sales register machine users is increasing, machines are using outdated technology and can be subject to fraud.

Recently the Ministry of Revenue (MoR) disclosed that some machines disappeared and there are increasing requests for vat refunds. Some businesses ask for vat refunds by coming up with unknown and illegal receipts that come from missing machines. This cheats the government out of revenue.
If the government can improve the sales register machines’ security and technology it will go a long way to increasing revenue, a source who works in tax collection said. “Improving the system and usage of the machine by itself expands tax collection and tackles fraud,” they insisted. They want MoR to improve the technology to make a stronger controlling mechanism.
For instance, by using latest programs and technology MoR can trace the activity of any sales register machine besides identifying the location of the machine.
Some machine and software suppliers that asked not to be named support the idea of improving technology and using current products to enhance tax collection and reduce the tax evasion.
“The sales register machines the country uses is a ten-year-old technology,” they said.
“Improving this is very simple and can be managed by local workers and programmers with no or limited expenses by using modern technologies, it is easy to find the location of the missing machines. Even modern technologies allow machines to be installed by locking when moving from area to area,” the expert added.
Another experts points out that other countries change their sales register machines at least every five years, “but in our case the technology that is supposed to be improved has not changed for 11 years.”
Currently MoR and the association of sales register machine and software suppliers have formed a joint committee to improve the machines. “Even though the committee has been formed and some activities have started both sides have to work aggressively to modernize the machines and solve problems like importing equipment and technological modernization,” one person working in the sector added.
They have also claimed that a consultant at the at the ministry, hired by donors, is not giving adequate support to MoR regarding the machines. “The ministry should look into this,” they underlined.
Revenue collection insiders say they are pleased with the changes at MoR since the coming of Adanech Abebee to the ministerial post. The last nine months of the fiscal year have seen record tax collection. Several changes and improvements have also occurred with the tax collection office in the past few months.
Sources at MoR told Capital that a study on the machines indicates that modernization is crucial to realize the expected performance.
“We have proposed a solution but I think the higher body is not ready to change the system in the near future,” a source who is close to the case told Capital, “They have resisted modernization maybe they are not comfortable about the possible costs required for change.”
Experts at MoR, who requested anonymity, suggested that the cost of changing and modernizing the sales register machines would not be a major issue. “Modernizing the machines means more revenue for the government so the cost will be covered by more revenue collection from a more modern system that maximizes the government’s revenue,” they argued.
Technology suppliers have also placed their finger on a foreign consultant who supports the ministry. “The tax body should evaluate the performance and results that it has obtained since an individual consultant was hired to the post,” they argued.
Zemede Tefera, State Minister of Revenue, told Capital “We are working on short, medium and long term plan to see changes.”
The existing technology drawback has to be evaluated in detail, while the diagnostics have been conducted. There are several stakeholders like technology and machine suppliers, Ethio Telecom, the tax office itself and the machine users in the area and we have seen gaps on all sides, according to the state minister.
“We have to see if we can manage the gaps and correct them more than the current capacity before any further decision,” he added.
After applying the correction to the existing technology and evaluating the performance, we shall use it as an exit strategy for further technological shifts.
“The technological change may have a significant cost since it may recommend we change the existing machines,” Zemede said.
I cannot give the exact period when the technology will be modernized, but according to our plan we have the goal of solving the problem in stages.
In the short term we will solve some challenges by the end of the current budget year and then again by September. Adopting new technology requires a preparation period. We can make a decision about that in the future based on our short term activities.
Some experts indicate that the issue needs a decision from the higher level even from the Prime Minister since the issue is crucial for the country’s tax collection improvement.

NBE hands out USD 300M, but forex thirst continues

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The National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), has announced that it provided USD 300 million via the state owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) and private banks for the manufacturing sector this week. However, local industries still claim that the hard currency disbursement is unfair.
Early this week the Central Bank official who met with members of the chemical industry stated that the government is making a valiant effort to provide foreign currency but the hard currency shortage is still challenging the manufacturing industry.
“This week we have provided USD 300 million to the manufacturing industry so they can import materials they need to make their products.”
However the manufacturing industry, particularly local manufacturers argue that the allocation is almost nothing. They say the disbursement excludes local investors. For instance, a single foreign investor has secured up to USD 200 million in one year. This amount is two thirds of what the government stated it allocated for industries just this week.
They told Capital that industrialists and bankers know the suppliers’ credit scheme affects local investors, who are carrying a huge debt burden; but the government has not addressed the issue.
During its latest meeting with bankers, NBE announced that it would start providing foreign currency for private banks to provide to their customers. On Monday it stated that the central bank would provide USD 100 million for all 16 private banks.
Sources in the sector told Capital that from the total USD 300 million two thirds is provided via CBE, the state owned bank.
The local investors have expressed their disappointment with the suppliers’ credit scheme, which is a means to provide foreign currency on a future payment system, only targeting the foreign investors. It gives them a priority when obtaining hard currency and the private sector is managed on a traditional first come first serve scheme.
They claimed that the scheme is ‘apartheid law’ because it excludes the local investors from being part of the game.
During his last meeting with the media Yinager Dessie (PhD), said the government will continue with the suppliers’ credit scheme. He said that the foreign investors came to the country though the trust that the government gave.
The central bank announced that it has started providing foreign currency to private banks. The new system was targeted to address the hard currency demand not only by the state firm but private actors and encourage them to generate hard currency.
Even though the hard currency shortage is not new for the country the challenge in the past two years has become serious and industries have been forced to drop their production rate significantly and some of them have already closed their industry.
According to industry actors, even though the government stated that it allocates millions of USD, in the actual terms industries receive a few thousand dollars. “If you see my industry it received only USD 1, 800,” one of the industry actors who wanted his name and business not to be mentioned told Capital.