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Forex market faces new risks following reforms

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The recent shift to a market-driven foreign exchange (FX) system in Ethiopia has sparked both opportunities and risks for the banking sector, according to industry experts. While the flow of forex from outside increased following macroeconomic reforms, the anticipated growth in foreign exchange transactions has not materialized as expected.

Since July 29, 2024, commodities such as gold and coffee, which were previously traded on the black market, have begun to be processed through banks. However, experts indicate that the development in this area over the past three months has fallen short of expectations.

Tewodros Hailu, Director of Awash Bank’s Banking Transformation Directorate, commented on the implications of the government’s reforms on the financial sector. “Foreign exchange has brought risk to banks,” he stated. “We were previously focused on local currency, but now FX exchange has become critically risky.”

Tewodros also noted that the introduction of new foreign banks into the Ethiopian market could intensify competition for local banks, particularly given their relatively low capital and assets in dollar terms. He highlighted a significant challenge facing the sector: a lack of trained personnel. “We are working to address this issue,” he added.

Despite these challenges, Habtamu Workineh, Director of External Economic Analysis and International Relations at the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), reported that banks’ foreign exchange reserves have reached $600 million within just four months. He noted that the NBE has licensed 12 non-bank foreign exchange offices, which have conducted transactions totaling $774,000 as of November 27, 2024. Of this amount, $540,000 was sold through these offices.

Habtamu emphasized that five of the licensed offices are operational, which could help mitigate the flow of foreign currency into the parallel market.

These developments were discussed during a panel event hosted by the Addis Chamber of Commerce and relevant stakeholders, focusing on the implications of recent macroeconomic reforms on Ethiopia’s financial sector. The discussions underscored both the potential benefits and risks associated with the new FX regime.

The NBE’s reforms aim to create a more competitive banking environment while ensuring that foreign exchange transactions are managed effectively. However, industry leaders have expressed concerns about how these changes will impact local banks and their ability to compete with new entrants.

As Ethiopia navigates its transition to a market-driven foreign exchange system, stakeholders are closely monitoring both the challenges and opportunities that arise. While there is optimism regarding increased foreign exchange reserves and reduced reliance on black market transactions, concerns about competition and personnel training remain critical issues for the banking sector.

Awash Bank

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In compliance with Article 28, Sub Article 2(b) of Banking Business Proclamation No. 592/2008, Awash Bank S.C publishes its statement of Profit or Loss and other Comprehensive Income & Statement of Financial Position for the Year Ended June 30,2024.

‘You broke it, you fix it’: Why the Global South’s patience is wearing thin

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As delegates from around the world gathered in Baku, Azerbaijan, for the 2024 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29), the stage was set for another round of pledges, promises, and- if recent history is a guide – disappointments.

While leaders from the Global North polished their speeches about ambitious green transitions, the Global South braced for more empty rhetoric. The chasm between rich and poor nations has widened, and this year’s conference may serve as the tipping point for developing countries that are tired of bearing the brunt of climate change without the resources or respect they deserve.

The broken promises of climate finance

The roots of this frustration are clear. In 2009, wealthy nations pledged $100 billion per year in climate finance by 2020. Fast forward to 2024, and this target has yet to be met. To add insult toinjury, the amount promised is widely acknowledged as insufficient. Developing countries,including India and much of Africa, have repeatedly argued that at least $1.3 trillion annually isneeded to address their adaptation and mitigation challenges effectively.

“Climate finance is not charity; it is an obligation,” India’s environment minister said recently,calling out wealthier nations for their failure to deliver on commitments. His sentiment is echoedacross the Global South, where countries are struggling to finance renewable energy projects,coastal defenses, and drought-resistant agriculture.

Meanwhile, African nations are particularly aggrieved. Despite being among the hardest hit byclimate change (caused mainly by the highly developed Global North), the continent receivesjust 3% of global climate finance. The inequity is glaring. Mozambique, Zambia and theDemocratic Republic of Congo for instance, have endured multiple cyclones and exceptionalweather catastrophes in recent years, displacing thousands and wreaking economic havoc. Yet,funds to help these nations adapt and recover are scarce, leaving them trapped in a viciouscircle of destruction and poverty.

Privatizing responsibility: A dangerous trend

One of the most contentious debates at COP29 is the increasing emphasis on privateinvestment in climate finance. While developed nations celebrate private capital as agame-changer, countries like India see it as a cop-out. “Shifting the burden to private investorsabsolves governments of accountability,” said a negotiator from the G77 bloc – group of developing countries in the UN. Critics argue thatprivate finance is often tied to market returns, which sidelines the poorest and most vulnerablecommunities.

Consider the case of renewable energy in sub-Saharan Africa. While private firms invest in solarand wind projects, these initiatives are often geared toward urban areas or export markets,bypassing the rural communities most in need. The result? A patchwork of progress that leavesmillions in the dark—literally and figuratively.

The fossil-fuel elephant in the room

Adding fuel to the fire – pun intended – is the presence of over 1,700 fossil fuel lobbyists at COP29, a record high for any climate conference. Their influence looms large over negotiations, with activists accusing them of undermining efforts to phase out coal, oil, and gas.

The irony is hard to miss: while small island nations plead for immediate action to prevent rising sea levels from swallowing their homes, fossil fuel interests are busy ensuring that transitions remain slow and their profits remain high. “It’s like inviting arsonists to a fire safety conference,” quipped one frustrated delegate.

G20 hypocrisy on display

While developing countries grapple with existential threats, the G20 nations – responsible for75% of global emissions – continue to fall short on their climate commitments. A recent report bythe Council on Energy, Environment, and Water (CEEW) revealed glaring gaps in emissionreduction policies across these major economies.

Take the United States, for example. Despite its Inflation Reduction Act, which promisessignificant investments in clean energy, the country has yet to align its actions with the ParisAgreement’s 1.5°C target. Similarly, European nations have struggled to reconcile their greenambitions with growing energy demands and political pushback.

The loss and damage fund: A test of good faith

One of the few bright spots of last year’s COP28 was the establishment of a Loss and DamageFund, designed to compensate vulnerable nations for climate-related destruction. However,implementation remains stalled. With no operational framework or guaranteed funding, theinitiative risks becoming another hollow promise.

For countries like Pakistan, which suffered catastrophic floods in 2022 that displaced over 30million people, the stakes couldn’t be higher. “This fund is not a luxury; it’s a necessity,” saidPakistan’s climate minister. Yet, without swift action, the fund could end up as anotherbureaucratic black hole.

Statistical realities and stark contrasts

The numbers tell a damning story. Africa will pay $163 billion in debt service in 2024 – moneythat could have been used for climate adaptation. Meanwhile, the fossil fuel industry rakes in trillions in profits annually, with subsidies from governments adding insult to injury. In 2022alone, global fossil fuel subsidies hit a staggering $1 trillion, dwarfing investments in renewableenergy.

These disparities are not just economic; they are moral. How can rich nations preachsustainability while continuing to finance coal plants abroad? How can they demand emissionsreductions from countries like India, whose per capita emissions are a fraction of those in theWest?

A call for a new paradigm

As COP29 concluded, the question is not just whether rich nations will listen but whether they will act. The Global South is no longer content to be a passive recipient of aid. Countries likeBrazil, South Africa, and Indonesia are pushing for a more equitable global climatearchitecture – one that includes debt relief, fair trade policies, and technology transfers.

Even Pope Francis weighed in recently, calling for “a bold and creative rethinking of the globalfinancial system.” His words resonate with leaders in Africa, where debt servicing oftenoutweighs spending on health and education.

“We’re asking for fairness”

The COP29 ended with more delays and diluted commitments. It is not just a failure ofdiplomacy but a betrayal of humanity. The climate crisis is a global problem that requires globalsolutions, yet the burden remains unevenly distributed. As one African delegate put it, “We’renot asking for favors; we’re asking for fairness”.

Perhaps the most poignant reminder came from a young activist in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, who held asign that read: “You broke it. You fix it.” The message is clear. It’s time for the Global North toput its money where its mouth is – or risk losing what little credibility it has left. After all, In thewords of another activist’s poignant sign, “The house is on fire.” Let’s hope Baku doesn’tbecome the place where the fire spreads unchecked.

Ethiopia urged to increase budget allocation for cultural sector

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Ethiopia’s commitment to preserving its rich and diverse indigenous cultures is facing significant challenges due to low budget allocations for the cultural sector, according to a recent study. Despite the country’s vibrant cultural landscape, the financial resources dedicated to this sector have been insufficient, hindering its effectiveness in promoting and safeguarding cultural heritage.

The study highlights that investment in Ethiopia’s cultural sector is critically low and often underestimated. Although there have been ongoing policy reforms, the cultural sector continues to grapple with daunting challenges. In response to these issues, Selam Ethiopia has launched a new initiative called Connect for Culture Africa (CfCA) in partnership with the African Union. This initiative aims to mobilize coordinated efforts to secure adequate financial resources for the cultural sector.

Findings from the study indicate that the cultural sector is considered a priority in the upcoming federal budget, which is expected to increase support for this area. However, the allocation remains alarmingly low, with only approximately 0.11% of the national budget designated for cultural initiatives—far below the 1% target specified in the African Union agreement.

With only five years remaining to meet commitments made by 2030, experts stress that increasing traditional budget allocations is essential. This move would help mitigate risks of sudden budget overruns and mismanagement by strengthening the structural capacity of public institutions within the sector.

The recently released “Baseline Study and Actor Mapping for Public Investment in Ethiopia’s Culture Sector” examines the challenges facing the Connect for Culture Africa movement and provides recommendations for addressing these obstacles. Dr. Yitsema Tsege Shaw, the lead researcher, emphasized the urgent need for greater investment support in the cultural sector. “Although the cultural sector is at the forefront of Ethiopia’s 10-year plan, the budget allocated to it is significantly less than what is outlined in the African Union’s plan,” he stated.

The study also revealed that the utilization rate of funds within the cultural sector accounts for 75-80% of the total budget, which directly influences future budget allocations. A senior budget expert from the Ministry of Finance noted that key factors determining budget amounts include development priorities outlined in national plans, financial performance, physical performance, and strong justifications presented during budget hearings.

Despite efforts to raise awareness about increasing the share of the federal budget allocated to culture to 1%, communication regarding this campaign has been inadequate among senior officials and experts at the Ministry of Finance. Consequently, awareness has not sufficiently influenced budget allocations for the sector.

Historical data shows that from fiscal years 2020 to 2023, allocations for the cultural sector remained relatively low: 0.127%, 0.118%, and 0.144%, respectively. This trend underscores both a need for greater commitment to funding and coordinated action from all stakeholders to ensure sustainable cultural development by 2023.

The research conducted as part of Connect for Culture Africa—a five-year initiative led jointly by Selam Ethiopia and the African Union—aims to encourage African countries to allocate 1% of their national budgets to arts and culture sectors by 2030.