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Impact Investing

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Atieno Otonglo, Africa Lead at the Global Steering Group for Impact Investing (GSG Impact), brings over 17 years of experience in impact investing and business development across emerging markets to her role supporting the development of impact investing ecosystems in Africa. With an MBA from London Business School, Atieno leads efforts to build infrastructure and incentives that encourage capital flow for measurable social and environmental impact throughout the continent. In an exclusive interview with Capital, she shared insights into how GSG Impact’s initiatives in Ethiopia will differ from other African countries, the challenges they anticipate, and the opportunities for transformative investment that align with Ethiopia’s unique economic landscape. Excerpts;

Capital: How will GSG Impact’s work in Ethiopia differ from its efforts in other African countries, given Ethiopia’s unique economic landscape?

Atieno Otonglo: Ethiopia is in the early stages of developing its impact investing ecosystem. Unlike more mature markets such as South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, or Nigeria, Ethiopia has limited experience with blended finance, social enterprises, and impact-driven investments. We anticipate our role here will be more catalytic, focusing on building awareness, convening the ecosystem, and enhancing capacity. Our goal is to adapt global insights to Ethiopia’s specific context, where the government plays a significant role in the economy and private sector participation is still growing.

Capital: What are the biggest challenges you expect in establishing a robust impact investing ecosystem in Ethiopia? How can GSG Impact help address these challenges?

Atieno: The primary challenges include: (i) a lack of awareness among local investors about impact investing, (ii) a scarcity of investment-ready enterprises, (iii) regulatory barriers limiting alternative financing, and (iv) high collateral requirements from banks. The Ethiopian national partner can assist by collaborating with government entities on regulatory reforms, training enterprises to become investment-ready, and facilitating partnerships with strategic development partners and global impact investors.

Capital: What is the largest potential source of capital in Ethiopia, particularly from pension funds or private investors?

Atieno: In many African countries, the most significant long-term capital pool comes from pension funds and insurance companies. Ethiopia’s pension system is expanding, and directing even a small portion into impact-aligned investments could be transformative. Family businesses and diaspora networks also present promising sources of private capital.

With an estimated US$40–45 billion in assets under management, EIH is currently Africa’s largest sovereign wealth fund. Its investment decisions influence Ethiopia’s financial markets. If EIH incorporates impact principles into its strategy, it will send a strong message to banks, pension funds, and private investors that aligning financial returns with social and environmental outcomes is both valid and expected. Furthermore, EIH can catalyze blended finance, creating opportunities for pension funds, insurance companies, and diaspora capital to co-invest in impact vehicles that support Ethiopia’s development priorities in job creation, rural transformation, health, and climate resilience.

Capital: Which small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Ethiopia are likely to benefit the most from this initiative? What areas do you prioritize?

Atieno: The beneficiaries of impact investing will span various sectors. However, in the Ethiopian context, SMEs in agriculture, renewable energy, health, and education are likely to gain the most. These sectors not only align with Ethiopia’s development priorities but also offer scalable business models with significant social impact. We place particular emphasis on women- and youth-led enterprises.

Capital: How can the Ethiopian National Partnership for Impact Investment collaborate with existing organizations such as Social Enterprise Ethiopia?

Atieno: Collaboration is vital. Social Enterprise Ethiopia has grassroots connections with entrepreneurs, while the Ethiopian National Partnership for Impact Investment can provide policy and investor engagement. Together, they can create a pipeline of enterprises, advocate for enabling regulations, and enhance Ethiopia’s presence in global forums.

Capital: Can you explain the differences between traditional investing, ESG investing, and impact investing in simple terms for our readers who are just familiar with these concepts?

Atieno: Traditional investing focuses solely on generating financial returns. ESG investing considers environmental, social, and governance factors to manage risks and enhance long-term value. Impact investing goes further by intentionally pursuing measurable positive social and environmental outcomes alongside financial returns.

Capital: The GSG has a report with recommendations for banks. What is the key message for Ethiopian banks regarding their role in impact investing?

Atieno: Banks should view themselves as partners in development, not just as lenders. By creating innovative financial products, reducing collateral requirements, and collaborating with impact investors, banks can unlock opportunities for SMEs that are otherwise excluded.

Our latest report on this topic, A New Lens on SME Mobilisation: How to Maximise Private Capital Flows to SMEs, found that traditional methods of capital mobilization for SMEs yield disappointing results. Seventy-five percent of DFI commitments to SMEs are channeled through domestic commercial banks and local or regional SME funds. However, there is minimal evidence of private capital mobilization occurring at the point of DFI investment through these channels. Alternative approaches show more promise and should be better understood. Mobilization often occurs downstream from DFI investments; after receiving DFI support, banks may use their own capital to increase SME lending, and funds may assist investee companies in securing follow-on funding from local sources. We refer to these market-building efforts as “secondary mobilization,” which is capital attracted due to DFI support and influence over banks and funds. This is significant and can help address the funding shortfall that SMEs in EMDEs face. However, DFIs need strategies to maximize this mobilization and must measure it effectively.

Capital: You mentioned that in Kenya, pension funds are not fully utilizing the new rule allowing investments in alternatives. Why do you think this is happening, and how can Ethiopia avoid a similar situation?

Atieno: In Kenya, the slow uptake can be attributed to a lack of awareness, risk aversion, and limited investment vehicles. Ethiopia can avoid this by: (i) building capacity for pension fund managers, (ii) developing local impact funds as investment vehicles, and (iii) ensuring regulatory clarity and providing investor education from the outset.

Capital: Can you share a successful experience from another African country that could serve as a model for Ethiopia?

Atieno: Across Africa, we are piloting transformative initiatives to enhance financial inclusion and support small and medium enterprises (SMEs).

In Ghana, our national partner is implementing the $75 million Ci-Gaba fund-of-funds, designed to mobilize pension fund capital for SDG-aligned SMEs. In Zambia, our national partner is collaborating with the local Central Bank on the Small Business Growth Initiative (SBGI), a $180 million credit guarantee facility that addresses critical financing gaps for SMEs, including issues related to informality, collateral requirements, and high interest rates. In Nigeria, our national partner is launching the Wholesale Impact Investment Fund (WIIF), a $1 billion naira-denominated fund-of-funds aimed at supporting SMEs in sectors like agriculture, education, health, energy transition, and the creative industry. The fund has already secured a first close of $100 million, with contributions split 50% between the Federal Government of Nigeria and the private sector, while emphasizing gender as a cross-cutting theme.

Through these national initiatives across the African continent, GSG Impact aims to transform local financial ecosystems, stimulate job creation, and promote inclusive economic development in key sectors such as agriculture, renewable energy, and education.

Capital: How can the GSG initiative address the issue of high collateral and interest rates that currently hinder small businesses in Ethiopia?

Atieno: Through advocacy and partnerships, we encourage banks to adopt risk-sharing mechanisms and blended finance models that reduce the risk for lenders. Guarantee schemes and concessional capital can also alleviate the collateral burden for SMEs.

Capital: How can the GSG organization help Ethiopian businesses become “ready for investment” to attract impact capital?

Atieno: The Ethiopian national partner will collaborate with accelerators, incubators, and capacity-building organizations to strengthen governance, financial management, and impact measurement systems within enterprises. This will prepare them to meet the requirements set by impact investors and development finance institutions (DFIs).

Capital: What do you hope to achieve in Ethiopia in the next two years?

Atieno: Our priorities include establishing a robust Ethiopian national partner for impact investing that will assist the government in implementing enabling policies, building a visible pipeline of impact enterprises, and facilitating a significant influx of local and international impact capital into Ethiopian businesses.

Capital: What are the main systemic barriers to impact investing in Ethiopia, and how are GSG and the new national partner working to overcome them?Atieno: The barriers include restrictive regulations, a lack of investment-ready enterprises, limited awareness, and underdeveloped financial markets. Together with the Ethiopian national partner, we will address these challenges by fostering policy dialogue, building enterprise capacity, and connecting global investors with local opportunities

Calls to adopt international MDR standard to boost digital payment adoption and reduce consumer fees

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Ethiopia’s digital payment sector, still in its nascent stage, has reached a critical juncture where key industry stakeholders are calling for fundamental policy reforms to foster wider adoption and reduce costs for consumers.

In a recent high-level discussion involving banks, fintech firms, and payment networks, experts underscored that the current payment fee structure poses the biggest barrier to mass merchant acceptance of digital payments. They unanimously urged policymakers to adopt the international standard Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) model, which charges merchants a small fee while removing transaction costs from consumers. This approach is widely recognized globally for encouraging digital payment uptake.

Abay Sime, Director of Digital Customer Admissions at Bank of Abyssinia, emphasized that charging the consumer acts as a disincentive, driving customers away from digital solutions and undermining efforts to increase digital transactions. The existing ecosystem suffers from legacy issues where expensive technology rolled out primarily benefits banks, leading to a drive for high-revenue clients at the expense of broader merchant coverage.

This narrow focus leaves many small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) underserved, limiting their access to digital payments. Early infrastructure challenges, delayed transaction settlements, and operational inefficiencies have further impeded successful deployment at scale.

The rise of mobile person-to-person (P2P) money transfers, accelerated by COVID-19 cash withdrawal restrictions, has driven consumers and merchants toward fee-free alternatives, entrenching this informal habit. Tensaye Desalegn, CEO of Santim Pay, described Ethiopia’s mobile payment market as unique, driven largely by remittance flows rather than traditional merchant transactions—making transformation especially complex.

Experts agree that overcoming entrenched P2P usage requires a multidisciplinary approach, involving collaboration across fintech, banking, telecommunications, and regulators, alongside merchant education and introduction of value-added services. The aim is to build a robust, customer-friendly digital payment ecosystem.

The National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) has been instrumental in laying foundational reforms, including the introduction of Payment System Operator and Payment Instrument Issuer licenses in 2020. However, industry voices call for greater collaboration and ongoing merchant training to address high employee turnover and facilitate platform adoption.

Rediet Tsigeberhan, CEO of ARIFPAY, suggested the next frontier in digital payments should extend beyond basic transactions, integrating ancillary services such as stock management, enterprise resource planning, microcredit, and insurance—elevating merchant value propositions.

Currently, Ethiopia has between 40,000 and 50,000 active point-of-sale (POS) terminals, starkly fewer than Nigeria’s 6 million or Kenya’s substantial banking sector deployment. The high cost of POS devices remains a barrier for SMEs.

In this context, Visa’s partnership with Santim Pay, announced at Visa Connect Ethiopia 2025, aims to address Ethiopia’s structural challenges by deploying over 20,000 new POS terminals within a year. This expansion is seen as a vital step to increase payment acceptance points and enable more inclusive digital economic growth. Market projections expect a fivefold growth in digital payments within the next two to three years fueled by regulatory support and enhanced competition.

Regulatory, financial barriers stall circular economy progress

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Ethiopia has made notable policy advances to support its green transformation, including the National Circular Economy Roadmap, Plastic Waste Strategy, and Solid Waste Management Proclamation. However, the implementation of these frameworks faces major hurdles that threaten the country’s environmental and economic ambitions.

Senior officials, development partners, and social entrepreneurs recently convened to discuss challenges including regulatory inconsistencies, bureaucratic fragmentation, and funding shortages. While the roadmap offers a strategic framework for achieving sustainable development and economic transformation, uniform implementation across government agencies remains elusive.

Sisay Sintata, Policy Researcher at the Policy Studies Institute, noted that circular economy principles must be integrated across line ministries—spanning industry, labor, skills development, and urban planning—to embed sustainability holistically in national development plans.

Mekdim Gulelat, Country Director of Reach for Change, emphasized the damaging impact of inconsistent and conflicting policies. “The perception and enforcement of circular economy policies vary widely among government offices,” he said. “This inefficiency creates burdensome bureaucracy that stunts the growth of emerging circular businesses instead of supporting their expansion.”

Financial challenges add to the difficulties faced by small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) striving to convert waste streams into economic opportunities. The Ethiopian financial sector is still immature in its capacity to back circular economy startups, which often lack traditional collateral or bankable assets. This limits access to loans and investment. Compounding this is a persistent societal mindset that fails to valorize waste, compelling entrepreneurs to price their sustainable products cheaply and undermining market viability.

On a positive note, Norwegian Church Aid (NCA) is spearheading efforts to legitimize and empower informal waste collectors through its “waste for value” model. Tsegazeab Zegeye, NCA Regional Thematic Advisor, explained how this initiative transforms informal workers into recognized entrepreneurs, providing capacity-building, legal registration, and connections to formal recycling companies. This model offers scalable employment opportunities and strengthens the circular economy’s grassroots.

The workshop organized by the Ethiopia Circular Economy Hotspot underlined the foundational role of a circular ecosystem, encompassing waste reduction, reuse, and proper disposal. Lelise Neme, Director General at the Environmental Protection Authority (EPA), stressed that “circular economics is critical for building a sustainable and inclusive economy.” Ethiopia’s national circular economy strategy and waste management laws aim to ensure resource sustainability and environmental stewardship for future generations.

Despite policy progress, without coordinated regulatory action, financial innovation, and heightened public awareness, Ethiopia’s circular economy ambitions risk falling short. A multi-stakeholder approach integrating government, private sector, civil society, and international partners is essential to overcome obstacles and fully unlock the environmental, social, and economic benefits of a circular model.

Air cargo, passenger demand surge in Africa and globally

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The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released fresh data for August 2025, highlighting continued resilience and expansion in both global air cargo and passenger markets. Africa notably led air cargo growth among all regions, while passenger travel hit new record highs.

According to IATA’s cargo market analysis, global air cargo demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTK), rose 4.1% year-on-year in August, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase. African airlines drove this growth with an 11.0% increase in cargo demand, the strongest rise globally. Capacity on the continent also expanded by 12.3%, signaling strengthened logistics capabilities and growing trade flows. This surge supports vital sectors like agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and manufacturing, reinforcing Africa’s growing role in global supply chains.

Meanwhile, total global air passenger demand, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), increased 4.6% year-on-year in August. Total capacity expanded 4.5%, with a record-high load factor of 86.0%, indicating fuller flights and operational efficiency. International passenger traffic was the primary growth driver, rising 6.6%, while domestic travel grew 1.5%.

Africa registered a notable 8.9% increase in passenger demand and a 6.6% rise in capacity, with an improved load factor of 80.2%, highlighting a recovery in regional air travel fueled by economic activities and tourism.

IATA Director General Willie Walsh commented on the data: “Despite economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, global air travel and freight volumes continue to grow robustly. Airlines are responding by maximizing efficiency and planning increased capacity, reflecting strong market demand.”

The evolving trade patterns, tariff fluctuations, and supply chain adaptations have particularly benefited air cargo trade lanes linking Africa with Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, which have seen consecutive months of growth. The Africa-Asia corridor reported an 8.4% rise in air freight volumes, underscoring deepening commercial ties and expanding market opportunities.

Lower jet fuel prices — down 6.4% from last year — sustained affordability for air cargo operations globally, while manufacturing sector optimism in August added to positive market sentiment, despite persistent caution around export orders.

Overall, the August 2025 data from IATA highlights how air transport remains a crucial pillar supporting economic growth and integration in Africa and worldwide. Investments in aviation infrastructure and continued market liberalization stand to further enhance the continent’s connectivity and participation in global commerce.

As airlines prepare for the upcoming travel seasons with increased capacity, vigilance regarding evolving market dynamics and supply chain resilience will be key to sustaining this positive trajectory in both passenger and cargo sectors.