Friday, May 3, 2024
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Ethiopia’s Monetary Policy: A Historical Perspective on Currency and Inflation

By: Neel Anand (Jumeirah English Speaking School)

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Like in many other countries, Ethiopia’s economic growth and stability have been significantly shaped by the way monetary policy is managed. Ethiopia has had numerous difficulties with regard to financial regulation, inflation, and currency issuance during the course of its history. We may learn more about Ethiopia’s economic development and the variables affecting its monetary environment by looking at the historical evolution of the country’s monetary policy.

Back in antiquity, when several kingdoms minted their own currencies, Ethiopia had one of its first official monetary policies. These currencies, which were frequently formed of valuable metals like gold and silver, aided in trade both inside and outside of the region. On the other hand, the lack of a centralized monetary authority caused the monetary system to be inconsistent and inefficient.

Ethiopia saw attempts to modernize its monetary system during the imperial era, especially under the rule of Emperor Menelik II in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. The numerous regional currencies in use were replaced by Menelik with the Ethiopian Birr, a single currency. The goal of this action was to encourage economic integration within the empire and expedite trade.

The switch to a single currency was not without difficulties, though. At the time, the Ethiopian economy was primarily based on agriculture, but external factors like droughts and conflicts with neighbouring governments may cause disruptions. These interruptions frequently caused changes in the Birr’s value and increased inflationary pressures.

Ethiopia saw profound political and economic transformations when Emperor Haile Selassie was overthrown in 1974, including the nationalization of important businesses and the installation of a socialist administration. Monetary policy was highly centralized under Mengistu Haile Mariam’s Derg administration, which also imposed stringent controls on the foreign exchange markets and banking industry.

The Derg regime’s socialist policies, which included state-led development projects and land reforms, had conflicting effects on the Ethiopian economy. While some industries saw expansion and prosperity, others dealt with inefficiencies and the misallocation of resources. A major contributing factor to the outbreak of inflation was government expenditure and deficit finance.

When the Transitional Government of Ethiopia (TGE) implemented economic liberalization policies in the 1990s, Ethiopia’s monetary policy underwent a sea change. The objectives of these reforms were to draw in foreign investment, support market-oriented policies, and stimulate private sector involvement. As part of these measures, the government started implementing stricter monetary policy and budgetary restraint in an attempt to stabilize the currency and reduce inflation.

Ethiopia has been facing difficulties with inflation and currency stability in the last few years. Sustained economic growth has been hampered by rapid population expansion, inadequate infrastructure, and outside shocks like the COVID-19 epidemic. To tackle these issues, efforts have been made to fortify financial institutions, encourage macroeconomic stability, and improve the efficiency of monetary policy.

Looking ahead, monetary authorities in Ethiopia will continue to have to strike a balance between divergent goals including fostering economic expansion, preserving price stability, and guaranteeing financial inclusion. Policymakers may steer Ethiopia’s economy in the direction of greater resilience and prosperity by learning from the nation’s monetary past.

In conclusion, Ethiopia’s monetary policy has changed dramatically over time to reflect the nation’s shifting political and economic environments. The control of currency and inflation has always been a crucial factor in determining Ethiopia’s economic success, regardless of the governing systems in place, from prehistoric kingdoms to contemporary ones. We can better grasp Ethiopia’s prospects and challenges as it forges ahead toward sustainable development and prosperity by knowing the historical background of the country’s monetary policy.

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